CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe676194649e421f7f68f370c453741cf8a213a4017d67d7f774c48a0dec67463
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, CYBERSHOKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 2c | 2,100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Nemiga | 61c | 1,405$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.07 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8c…c7cebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 42c | 1,226$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Nemiga | 63c | 1,204$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 40c | 645$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.35 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Nemiga | 60c | 493.98$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.59 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 36c | 477.23$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.8 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 8c | 303.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 19c | 299.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 32c | 285.95$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 36c | 266.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nemiga | 58c | 233.2$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Nemiga | 61c | 225.49$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.02 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 39c | 214.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.66 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 39c | 200.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nemiga | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…8c57backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 30c | 166.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 39c | 165$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga | 62c | 116.62$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 39c | 116.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 14c | 115.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 39c | 114.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…e97bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 38c | 105.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 40c | 98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Nemiga | 60c | 98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 40c | 71.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…8bb1backed Nemiga | 75c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Nemiga | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 18c | 64.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 41c | 61.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 21c | 56.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Nemiga | 80c | 56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Nemiga | 61c | 42.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3065…4b0ebacked Nemiga | 77c | 38.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nemiga | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 31c | 33.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Nemiga | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…3c85backed Nemiga | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nemiga | 65c | 29.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Nemiga | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 WinnerNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.