NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe68a28be5d19d91cc7f43e0ea88613a416dc6eb5ef6415bd0886acc976c36049
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Golden Knights, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Golden Knights | 62c | 110,500$68,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,510 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Kraken | 38c | 36,717$13,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,764.36 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kraken | 39c | 36,547$14,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,392.74 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Kraken | 38c | 34,123$12,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,181.72 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kraken | 40c | 20,000$7,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,064.09 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Kraken | 51c | 10,560$5,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,193.2 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Golden Knights | 62c | 9,628$5,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,950.6 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Golden Knights | 49c | 9,029$4,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,424.21 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken | 60c | 8,225$4,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300.12 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 6,677$4,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,039.27 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Kraken | 49c | 5,025$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.73 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Golden Knights | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Golden Knights | 44c | 4,962$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.4 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 4,441$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Golden Knights | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Kraken | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Golden Knights | 61c | 3,312$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.19 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights | 50c | 3,156$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.86 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Kraken | 39c | 3,066$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.26 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Kraken | 47c | 2,932$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.92 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Golden Knights | 41c | 2,891$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.18 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kraken | 39c | 2,706$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.5 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 2,680$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.73 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kraken | 38c | 2,250$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 2,166$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.01 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Kraken | 38c | 2,055$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.79 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Golden Knights | 61c | 1,902$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.21 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…4c3bbacked Kraken | 39c | 1,708$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +103%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…3428backed Golden Knights | 63c | 1,708$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Golden Knights | 56c | 1,570$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 39c | 1,500$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kraken | 39c | 1,268$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.71 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Kraken | 39c | 1,178$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.78 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kraken | 50c | 1,143$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.9 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Kraken | 38c | 1,096$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.78 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Golden Knights | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Kraken | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 44c | 882.85$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.46 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Golden Knights | 48c | 809$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.77 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Kraken | 38c | 757.1$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.4 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Golden Knights | 60c | 754.01$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.67 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed Kraken | 39c | 747.03$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Golden Knights | 63c | 600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Golden Knights | 61c | 600$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Kraken | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kraken | 64c | 559.43$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.8 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Golden Knights | 61c | 557.41$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.23 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kraken | 50c | 470$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.93 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kraken | 38c | 463$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.06 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Kraken | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kraken | 38c | 350.75$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.59 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Kraken | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Golden Knights | 61c | 300$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Kraken | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Kraken | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Golden Knights | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…abf9backed Kraken | 40c | 242.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.74 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Kraken | 42c | 239.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.25 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Kraken | 39c | 205$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Kraken | 38c | 201.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Golden Knights | 37c | 190$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 212 | 45.8%97 W · 115 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Kraken | 38c | 182.74$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.3 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Golden Knights | 61c | 170$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…6cd8backed Golden Knights | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Kraken | 41c | 160$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.89 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Golden Knights | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kraken | 60c | 148$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.93 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Kraken | 38c | 143.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Golden Knights | 36c | 138.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Kraken | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Kraken | 44c | 126.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kraken | 38c | 115.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.77 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 114.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.45 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Kraken | 37c | 108$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Kraken | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Kraken | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Kraken | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Kraken | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Golden Knights | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Kraken | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Kraken | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Kraken | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Golden Knights | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Kraken | 45c | 89.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…2e7fbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 86.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Kraken | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Kraken | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Golden Knights | 36c | 69.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Golden Knights | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Kraken | 39c | 68.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Kraken | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…7239backed Kraken | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Kraken | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Kraken | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Kraken | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Kraken | 39c | 50.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.