Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC win on 2026-02-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6b75df6bc1d4a8a56f77ca96f1b6b6d893653f70aa4c0008d60ca84150d4741
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 6,092$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.47 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 2,608$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.33 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 68c | 1,508$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 1,489$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.83 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 1,264$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.64 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 67c | 1,128$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.12 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 34c | 914$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.76 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 24c | 700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 67c | 560$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 17c | 529.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 67c | 499.97$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Yes | 32c | 431.25$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -8.5wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 33c | 358.58$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.79 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 32c | 319.85$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 32c | 287.49$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 35c | 287.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 278.28$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876a…7e40backed Yes | 34c | 231.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 36c | 166.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 32c | 154$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 34c | 126.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 114.4$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 111.42$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 66c | 100.34$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…f42cbacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Yes | 23c | 90.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked Yes | 35c | 85.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f08…65d2backed Yes | 26c | 79.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 75.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 34c | 74.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 67c | 72.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 32c | 71.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 34c | 71.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…1685backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d06…5dddbacked Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…8249backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…f39ebacked Yes | 36c | 40.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed Yes | 32c | 39.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…6e85backed Yes | 31c | 37.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 36.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed No | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 68c | 19.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 69c | 17.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…50aabacked No | 69c | 17.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-02-08?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre vs. Paris FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-02-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.