Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will AJ Auxerre vs. Paris FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x838a02a8c2a31a7378da4b932aa9689b4e13eea90db6e8b901c2ff98f0281475
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1660…5598backed No | 71c | 5,635$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.85 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 4,085$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.54 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 29c | 3,500$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 2,661$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.1 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…a303backed Yes | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 1,680$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.29 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 1,288$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.35 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 1c | 1,009$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1353…c7fdbacked No | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Yes | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 70c | 428.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 52c | 401.36$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 71c | 380.27$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 43c | 167.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.57 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 46c | 153.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 38c | 150.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…5cd8backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 31c | 119.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.35 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 30c | 115.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.75 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 20c | 105.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…f025backed Yes | 70c | 91.43$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 17c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 28c | 61.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 73c | 59.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 69c | 49.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bb…7b07backed Yes | 30c | 46.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5a…bf0abacked Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 36.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f08…65d2backed No | 41c | 36.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Yes | 70c | 17.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 67cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 70c | 15.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 140 | 57.1%80 W · 60 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AJ Auxerre vs. Paris FC end in a draw?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-02-08?No won
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-02-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.