Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International, Qualification: Filip Misolic vs Alexander Shevchenko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6f450d12d213466746f1cc6f5f14a023b4e827bcb7fcb9b7914da560755b9aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shevchenkoof Misolic, Shevchenko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Misolic | 18c | 1,390$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Shevchenko | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Misolic | 39c | 655.74$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.74 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Shevchenko | 75c | 458.51$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.6 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Shevchenko | 70c | 420$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.05 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Misolic | 37c | 350.32$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.39 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Misolic | 38c | 250.46$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Misolic | 11c | 225.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Misolic | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Shevchenko | 60c | 166.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Misolic | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Misolic | 33c | 94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Shevchenko | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Shevchenko | 57c | 60.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Shevchenko | 76c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Misolic | 40c | 50.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Misolic | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Shevchenko | 58c | 43.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Misolic | 37c | 36.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Misolic | 40c | 32.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Shevchenko | 76c | 30.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Shevchenko | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Shevchenko | 64c | 24.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.