Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe71563a66a4627aa03ae42a891d31d48d4872b36089f64b06ca73eb6c1fa58ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LSU Tigersof Kentucky Wildcats, LSU Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,861 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb397…5e43backed Kentucky Wildcats | 52c | 3,845$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8698…e4a2backed LSU Tigers | 48c | 3,811$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked LSU Tigers | 46c | 2,222$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.74 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Kentucky Wildcats | 44c | 1,114$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.68 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e92…f5f7backed Kentucky Wildcats | 53c | 745.74$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.51 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Kentucky Wildcats | 53c | 680.85$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.85 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked LSU Tigers | 53c | 641.49$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.67 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Kentucky Wildcats | 54c | 592.13$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.75 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked LSU Tigers | 47c | 474.55$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.51 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9253…56bcbacked LSU Tigers | 40c | 436.19$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 52c | 397.37$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.77 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 53c | 163.28$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.18 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 57c | 159.9$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.33 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Kentucky Wildcats | 54c | 148.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kentucky Wildcats | 54c | 116.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed LSU Tigers | 43c | 114.24$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed LSU Tigers | 45c | 104.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed LSU Tigers | 47c | 99.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed LSU Tigers | 47c | 86.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Kentucky Wildcats | 77c | 83.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked LSU Tigers | 46c | 75.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Kentucky Wildcats | 61c | 74.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked LSU Tigers | 47c | 73.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Kentucky Wildcats | 55c | 72.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed LSU Tigers | 38c | 70.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.49 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Kentucky Wildcats | 54c | 69.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked LSU Tigers | 52c | 47.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d07…1b92backed Kentucky Wildcats | 50c | 43.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Kentucky Wildcats | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked LSU Tigers | 43c | 38.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LSU Tigers | 46c | 37.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed LSU Tigers | 48c | 30.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kentucky Wildcats | 64c | 26.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked LSU Tigers | 49c | 24.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 59c | 22.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed LSU Tigers | 47c | 22.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Kentucky Wildcats | 50c | 21.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked LSU Tigers | 54c | 21.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Kentucky Wildcats | 51c | 19.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…a863backed Kentucky Wildcats | 55c | 19.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Kentucky Wildcats | 57c | 19.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-7.5)this page
- LSU Tigers vs. Kentucky WildcatsKentucky Wildcats won
- LSU Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 150.5Over won
- LSU Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcats: O/U 151.5Over won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-8.5)LSU Tigers won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-9.5)LSU Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.