Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe737ec7b42c11652bf3233b00025aebba981acf91066f1a545044ca9de96b162
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $459,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $460,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $459,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 48c | 449,760$216,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216,310.18 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 52c | 400,000$208,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Over | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,600 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 47c | 3,421$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.67 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 53c | 2,407$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.57 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 2,215$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.71 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 1,748$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.41 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 53c | 665$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.55 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Over | 53c | 363.68$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.93 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Over | 52c | 210.45$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.02 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 53c | 169.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.69 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 53c | 116.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 53c | 108$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Under | 49c | 101$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Over | 55c | 84.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 55c | 76.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Over | 55c | 58.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Over | 53c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 43.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Over | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d95…be38backed Under | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles: O/U 145.5this page
- Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Southern Indiana Screaming EaglesSoutheast Missouri State Redhawks won
- Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles: O/U 144.5Over won
- Spread: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (-7.5)Southeast Missouri State Redhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.