Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team NS vs Recrent Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe73b4bad2517f7235cf664a23917ae984e0ebe88448e30215bdd0e6836865da8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team NSof Team NS, Recrent Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf8b…7193backed Recrent Team | 73c | 545.1$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Recrent Team | 65c | 499.55$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.7 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Team NS | 35c | 297.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.38 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…bbc3backed Recrent Team | 38c | 261.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b58…3474backed Recrent Team | 7c | 256.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…a946backed Team NS | 62c | 200$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4a19backed Team NS | 50c | 199.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Team NS | 68c | 166$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Team NS | 36c | 113.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Team NS | 24c | 103.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…5922backed Team NS | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Team NS | 36c | 91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Recrent Team | 38c | 83.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Team NS | 28c | 80.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Recrent Team | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0879…52fabacked Team NS | 68c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Recrent Team | 65c | 48.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Recrent Team | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…7b89backed Team NS | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f70…133ebacked Recrent Team | 73c | 33.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Team NS | 79c | 30.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae8…80fbbacked Team NS | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Recrent Team | 65c | 21.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…65c5backed Team NS | 49c | 20.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…14fcbacked Team NS | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team NS vs Recrent Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Team NS vs Recrent Team - Game 1 WinnerTeam NS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.