Asian League · resolved market
FC Anyang vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7c1a7a31b0a329ca06e742b6cdb660ae9abd169d826927a51c3a6436caad2ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Under | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 49c | 404.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 37c | 332.11$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.35 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 32c | 315$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.09 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Under | 51c | 284.17$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.93 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +116%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 32c | 278.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.18 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 42c | 178.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Under | 51c | 166.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 24c | 159.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 75c | 148$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 30c | 143.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 34c | 136.48$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 64c | 136.16$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Under | 60c | 81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 49c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 34c | 52.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 78c | 48.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 73cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 25c | 48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 30c | 41.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…4bf5backed Over | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 73c | 36.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 66c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 22.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89e9…c4a3backed Under | 66c | 21.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Anyang vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Anyang vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Anyang vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-2.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
- Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.