Asian League · resolved market
FC Anyang vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67a01d55371f516ddfef3f82e54140997fefc6599c198dfd2b31938d1354fbe1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Over | 75c | 2,785$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.33 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 71c | 1,143$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.95 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 29c | 589.97$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.09 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 30c | 498.13$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.44 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 70c | 453.02$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.91 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over | 75c | 266.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Over | 70c | 260$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Over | 70c | 181.52$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Over | 70c | 160$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Over | 70c | 156$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 27c | 153.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 73c | 153.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 80c | 150.2$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 70c | 147$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 136.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.14 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a7…6ab2backed Under | 30c | 135.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 161 | 54.7%88 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 75c | 97.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…c044backed Over | 72c | 80.51$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 26c | 78.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 28c | 77.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 28c | 75.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 72c | 75.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 72c | 72.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…b61abacked Over | 72c | 60.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 75c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 75c | 50.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 71c | 43.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Over | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 71c | 33.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 73c | 23.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 73c | 23.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Anyang vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Anyang vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Anyang vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-2.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
- Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.