Tennis · resolved market
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Julie Belgraver
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7c38752b555fbc45b4d878eff1c5f7a447381e92e6edb90ed07068db31dbf5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elvina Kalievaof Elvina Kalieva, Julie Belgraver
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9bc4…4730backed Elvina Kalieva | 79c | 5,842$4,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 77cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Julie Belgraver | 16c | 5,488$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.86 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Julie Belgraver | 19c | 2,072$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.41 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Julie Belgraver | 17c | 2,036$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.89 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Julie Belgraver | 21c | 2,034$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.18 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Julie Belgraver | 18c | 826.5$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.25 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Elvina Kalieva | 79c | 624.94$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.24 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…77b6backed Elvina Kalieva | 79c | 564.09$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Julie Belgraver | 21c | 443.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…cd21backed Elvina Kalieva | 79c | 437.66$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.78 | 550 | 59.1%325 W · 225 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Julie Belgraver | 23c | 414.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Elvina Kalieva | 58c | 389.92$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.77 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Julie Belgraver | 22c | 321.49$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed Julie Belgraver | 30c | 320$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 270 | 40%108 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Julie Belgraver | 20c | 313$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Julie Belgraver | 13c | 297.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Elvina Kalieva | 74c | 254.22$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…c784backed Julie Belgraver | 23c | 211.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Julie Belgraver | 19c | 143.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Elvina Kalieva | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 150 | 70%105 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Elvina Kalieva | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Julie Belgraver | 22c | 119.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 292 | 30.5%89 W · 203 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Julie Belgraver | 19c | 117.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Julie Belgraver | 20c | 110.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Julie Belgraver | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Julie Belgraver | 21c | 99.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Elvina Kalieva | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Elvina Kalieva | 79c | 94.87$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Julie Belgraver | 21c | 85.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…f49abacked Julie Belgraver | 42c | 74.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Julie Belgraver | 23c | 74.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Julie Belgraver | 27c | 67.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 108 | 16.7%18 W · 90 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Julie Belgraver | 19c | 66.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd76…22febacked Elvina Kalieva | 77c | 64.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Julie Belgraver | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Julie Belgraver | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Julie Belgraver | 27c | 49.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Elvina Kalieva | 80c | 49.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Julie Belgraver | 24c | 44.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Elvina Kalieva | 78c | 38.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…9419backed Elvina Kalieva | 78c | 35.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a1…e6d5backed Elvina Kalieva | 78c | 15.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Elvina Kalieva | 78c | 15.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0445…8850backed Elvina Kalieva | 75c | 14.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Elvina Kalieva | 77c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.