La Liga · resolved market
SD Huesca vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7e38552ca37dbf2d26039221ca0ba1484f3fd671820c4a8eafaf2b5c626b16c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Under | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 1,272$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.83 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 421.53$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.78 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Under | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 75c | 153.89$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0635…5cb5backed Over | 74c | 146.65$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Under | 71c | 140.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed Under | 43c | 129.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Over | 60c | 105.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.44 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 48c | 101.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Under | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 75c | 91.05$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 57c | 87.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 35c | 84.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Under | 61c | 81.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 74c | 74.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 59c | 70.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362b…9534backed Over | 69c | 55$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 41c | 39.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 40c | 32.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Under | 32c | 31.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 53c | 20.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 68c | 17.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SD Huesca vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 2.5this page
- SD Huesca vs. Córdoba CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SD Huesca vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- SD Huesca vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- SD Huesca vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.