Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe86e189d33d2a4ec78c0562da42b672109897ca1eee612d28e80dc63d31c8b98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 16,459$8,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,217.38 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Over | 51c | 15,430$7,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,637.31 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Over | 51c | 8,066$4,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.28 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 2,629$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.97 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 74c | 1,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 1,317$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.96 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 63c | 1,109$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.45 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 52c | 798.7$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.41 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 46c | 599.92$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.96 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 375$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 50c | 225.76$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.44 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 45c | 204.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 51c | 138.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 58c | 128.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 125.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…245fbacked Over | 53c | 114.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 47c | 109.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 42c | 108.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 58c | 101.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 56c | 90.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 27c | 87.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 58c | 81.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 33c | 65.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 57c | 56.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 43c | 53.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Under | 41c | 43.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 56c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 60c | 33.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 49c | 30.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.7wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x33a5…3da0backed Over | 59c | 29.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 54c | 28.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Under | 42c | 26.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 46c | 24.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 46c | 22.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +17.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 58c | 18.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 64c | 16.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. FC St. Gallen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. FC St. Gallen: FC Sheriff Tiraspol O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. FC St. Gallen: FC Sheriff Tiraspol O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. FC St. Gallen: FC Sheriff Tiraspol O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. FC St. Gallen: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC St. Gallen (-1.5)FC St. Gallen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.