Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe86ffc2d7822891765ffeb9eaf37a3027e84c33242ec9fb8b420074ad03904eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 39,848$21,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,941.81 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…63bebacked Xtreme Gaming | 0c | 39,403$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 11,250$5,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,287.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 8,752$4,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,042.66 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 8,234$5,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.49 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 7,955$3,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,346.15 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 6,033$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.24 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 4,272$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.24 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 3,662$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.36 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 3,440$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.4 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 3,250$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.5 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 2,498$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.8 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 2,056$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.98 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 2,034$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.03 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 1,881$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 1,734$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.03 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Xtreme Gaming | 7c | 1,700$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 1,461$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.19 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 1,417$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.84 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 1,320$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.34 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 1,129$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.58 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 1,051$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 1,037$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.2 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,016$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.53 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 976.94$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.56 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 902.78$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.03 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 688.04$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.5 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 599.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 570$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.9 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 565.03$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.8 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 555$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.15 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 550.44$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Xtreme Gaming | 19c | 529.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e2…450fbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 524$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 520.79$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Xtreme Gaming | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…4f9bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 446$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 443.8$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.59 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Xtreme Gaming | 12c | 443$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe07c…d78abacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 441$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…576cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 413$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…d3c0backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 383$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c9…aeeabacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 377$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 369.85$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.16 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…7ee1backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 362$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bd…57adbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 346$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5260…7b8cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 345$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 342.74$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.98 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8832…34adbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 336$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990f…8490backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 314$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…f02cbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 312$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…438fbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 312$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa698…9a8abacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 310$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b40…e5f8backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 307$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c11…7605backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 291.79$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6977…80a4backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 290$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab54…f263backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 280$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…a153backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 266$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 253.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.87 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 250$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.75 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 245.07$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…1482backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 245$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4e…1774backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 233$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 229.92$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c24…0791backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 228$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b0…4758backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 224.84$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.86 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…c499backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 222.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -5.6wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…aba9backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 220$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04e…5c25backed Xtreme Gaming | 5c | 220$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c72…65c9backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 217$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 213.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1d…bd8cbacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 206$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…cf78backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 203$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 199.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…ebc7backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 178$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…9378backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 178$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf7…37bebacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 178$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 158.21$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.23 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 157.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 149.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…0eb4backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 131.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 128.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 125.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 122.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…9910backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 112.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.