Other European Leagues · resolved market
Aberdeen FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8a67ba666ac5a4201305e2a1ffdad89f023a068be66c26e9f63da79028da0d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 1,984$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.84 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 20c | 1,438$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.68 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 80c | 1,300$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 71c | 662.59$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.37 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 637.28$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 72c | 323.1$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 26c | 181.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12c1…1fc1backed Over | 80c | 107.15$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cb…c61ebacked Over | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1523…2e5fbacked Under | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 77c | 59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 74c | 57.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25bb…b369backed Over | 80c | 49.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…bc89backed Over | 80c | 49.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Under | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 87 | 82.8%72 W · 15 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 43c | 28.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 79c | 21.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 57c | 20.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 60c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aberdeen FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Aberdeen FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Aberdeen FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Aberdeen FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.