Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Tennessee State Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8db596332b39fd402acefbfac865c8f51159e94ce874c93da2e8c5d3cdb9bdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennessee State Tigersof UT Martin Skyhawks, Tennessee State Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,634 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 42c | 2,559$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.64 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Tennessee State Tigers | 58c | 2,411$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.74 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 46c | 1,499$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.52 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Tennessee State Tigers | 54c | 1,418$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.4 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 46c | 1,244$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.28 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Tennessee State Tigers | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tennessee State Tigers | 72c | 754.45$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.31 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tennessee State Tigers | 56c | 737.67$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.26 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 8c | 708.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tennessee State Tigers | 54c | 698$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.68 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 45c | 690.96$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.93 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 28c | 663.03$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.09 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Tennessee State Tigers | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tennessee State Tigers | 60c | 415.13$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.48 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 40c | 372.35$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.74 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 46c | 359.84$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.53 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 43c | 355.79$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 26c | 310.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.77 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tennessee State Tigers | 58c | 220.11$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…dc8cbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 58c | 205.13$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 45c | 203.03$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 44c | 198.28$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.24 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…e860backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 45c | 173.58$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 42c | 142.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Tennessee State Tigers | 55c | 131.85$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Tennessee State Tigers | 73c | 100.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 45c | 99.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 46c | 99.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 55c | 90.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 56c | 89.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Tennessee State Tigers | 54c | 80.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 27c | 63.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 31c | 51.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 54c | 45.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7e…5705backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 45c | 40.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed UT Martin Skyhawks | 46c | 39.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Tennessee State Tigers | 54c | 36.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked UT Martin Skyhawks | 46c | 24.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Tennessee State Tigers | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UT Martin Skyhawks vs. Tennessee State Tigersthis page
- Spread: Tennessee State Tigers (-1.5)Tennessee State Tigers won
- Spread: Tennessee State Tigers (-2.5)Tennessee State Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.