Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8e36f2a37510fb90c32f151e4446900b39ab92e264058d458c020c9b6cd0fac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina State Wolfpackof North Carolina State Wolfpack, Pittsburgh Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x226b…cad6backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 10,872$5,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,218.66 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 8,556$4,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,106.71 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 6,767$3,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.12 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 2,123$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.84 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 50c | 2,002$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 1,708$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 1,666$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.68 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 50c | 300$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 268$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.64 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 233$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.64 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 195$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 115.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 53c | 115$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 94.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 48c | 89.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Pittsburgh Panthers | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Pittsburgh Panthers | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-6.5)this page
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Pittsburgh PanthersNorth Carolina State Wolfpack won
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 144.5Over won
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 145.5Over won
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 146.5Over won
- Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-5.5)North Carolina State Wolfpack won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.