Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hechingen: Diana Martynov vs Federica Urgesi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9392d06d8ba616921f2cdc926ebc99c6993dbb5c650aa2d808c39e73e0eeeb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Federica Urgesiof Diana Martynov, Federica Urgesi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Diana Martynov | 25c | 3,197$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.19 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Federica Urgesi | 73c | 2,978$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.93 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Diana Martynov | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Diana Martynov | 21c | 432.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Federica Urgesi | 75c | 334.09$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.14 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Diana Martynov | 32c | 215.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Diana Martynov | 20c | 160$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Federica Urgesi | 79c | 115.92$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Federica Urgesi | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Federica Urgesi | 59c | 94.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Federica Urgesi | 73c | 90.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Federica Urgesi | 76c | 86.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Diana Martynov | 17c | 76.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Diana Martynov | 21c | 59.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 306 | 44.1%135 W · 171 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Federica Urgesi | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Federica Urgesi | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Federica Urgesi | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4432…1a32backed Federica Urgesi | 76c | 32.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +17.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Federica Urgesi | 76c | 25.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Federica Urgesi | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…189abacked Federica Urgesi | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Federica Urgesi | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Federica Urgesi | 79c | 16.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca76…d365backed Federica Urgesi | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 62 | 98.4%61 W · 1 L | +13.4wins | +0.22per pick | 77cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Federica Urgesi | 78c | 12.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.85 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.