TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Ben Johnson be the head coach of the Bears in the 2025-26 NFL season?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,346
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,471

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,346 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9325…a85abacked Yes20c1,175$241 inWon+$934.515911.9%7 W · 52 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+159.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes17c435$73 inWon+$361.931520%3 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed No4c275$11 inLost-$1112239.3%48 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed Yes36c256.13$92 inWon+$164.172623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-51.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd398…46d7backed Yes26c212$55 inWon+$157.1725643.8%112 W · 144 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Yes34c174.83$60 inWon+$114.833234.4%11 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+56%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes27c170.96$46 inWon+$124.66913%9 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No65c162.41$106 inLost-$105.6726830.6%82 W · 186 L-29.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-43.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes45c112$50 inWon+$61.655345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c33…c968backed Yes39c61.04$24 inWon+$36.941450%7 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49fd…0198backed Yes38c60$23 inWon+$37.44632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93b4…cbfdbacked Yes33c60$20 inWon+$40.24434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-39.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes32c50.72$16 inWon+$34.489947.5%47 W · 52 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3978…2f24backed Yes38c36.75$14 inWon+$22.747546.7%35 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6115…2a89backed No63c31.08$20 inLost-$19.582138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.