Tennis · resolved market
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Mensik vs. Davidovich Fokina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9b39326f1ec71237b2e2309d05b1e3afd1a0f453e978ce94d174090d1bc91b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fokinaof Mensik , Fokina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Fokina | 54c | 3,560$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.9 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b1…1306backed Mensik | 62c | 3,236$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Fokina | 38c | 2,712$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.5 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Mensik | 43c | 2,200$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Fokina | 56c | 1,732$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.64 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Fokina | 38c | 1,116$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.58 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Mensik | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Mensik | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Fokina | 38c | 453.02$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.87 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…4ebfbacked Mensik | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Mensik | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Mensik | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Mensik | 63c | 310.12$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.04 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Fokina | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Fokina | 70c | 211.33$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mensik | 11c | 184$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Mensik | 23c | 180$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…5861backed Mensik | 48c | 156.39$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Fokina | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 253 | 30%76 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfb…d312backed Mensik | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Fokina | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Fokina | 39c | 125$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d38…fc8ebacked Mensik | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Fokina | 58c | 94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…f2d8backed Mensik | 34c | 91.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…2248backed Mensik | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Mensik | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Fokina | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Mensik | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Fokina | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Fokina | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b36…b398backed Mensik | 63c | 46.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60d4…f1e4backed Fokina | 74c | 32.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Fokina | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked Fokina | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Fokina | 41c | 25.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Mensik | 54c | 19.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f48…c6adbacked Fokina | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.