Asian League · resolved market
Jeju SK FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9d8becfd89fd93550735e6b20d1c644ae3f8d141dcfdb66910dfef62631157e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 43c | 1,535$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.26 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 1,427$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.25 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 44c | 1,260$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 41c | 1,210$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 62c | 754.43$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.45 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 45c | 507.46$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.55 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 44c | 488.77$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.06 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 44c | 428.7$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.96 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 46c | 366.62$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.71 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 39c | 353.64$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.96 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 57c | 312$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 62c | 204.67$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 79c | 203.31$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…a56fbacked Over | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 177.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 55c | 146.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 43c | 99.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Over | 35c | 99.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…0da5backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 15c | 77.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 57c | 62.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 70c | 56.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed Under | 64c | 48.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Under | 56c | 35.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 62c | 33.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 57c | 26.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 54c | 21.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Over | 51c | 19.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jeju SK FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-1.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
- Spread: Jeju SK FC (-2.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.