Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9f1c4bc42608ecf00f6b8b7d702b81e09deebf05eca8eb7cae3da48440fccc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Le Havre ACof Olympique de Marseille, Le Havre AC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Olympique de Marseille | 25c | 15,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Le Havre AC | 75c | 14,747$11,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.45 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…53d0backed Olympique de Marseille | 25c | 2,264$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…7b35backed Le Havre AC | 75c | 790$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Olympique de Marseille | 25c | 760$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f13…6c78backed Le Havre AC | 75c | 760$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfada…0228backed Le Havre AC | 75c | 730$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Olympique de Marseille | 16c | 401.19$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Le Havre AC | 10c | 206.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +1,078.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Olympique de Marseille | 17c | 188.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked Le Havre AC | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Le Havre AC | 75c | 136.9$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95db…dc65backed Olympique de Marseille | 27c | 110.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Olympique de Marseille | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Le Havre AC | 75c | 94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Le Havre AC | 76c | 56.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Le Havre AC | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Le Havre AC | 72c | 40.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Le Havre AC | 75c | 35.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Le Havre AC | 74c | 25.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Le Havre AC | 76c | 21.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Le Havre AC | 75c | 20.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Le Havre AC | 76c | 18.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)this page
- Le Havre AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Le Havre AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-2.5)Olympique de Marseille won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.