Ligue 1 · resolved market
Le Havre AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a48c6224e852886b18eb83ca4e4c48415640bcdf3902b16c763cb4ee6834091
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 1,267$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.65 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 1,047$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.68 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 52c | 754.87$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.53 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 48c | 742.86$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.72 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 38c | 175.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.73 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Yes | 53c | 161.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 47c | 141.58$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.42 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes | 65c | 63.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 35c | 57.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 61c | 52.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 59c | 42.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 40.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 50c | 39.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 51c | 32.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…8319backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Le Havre AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Le Havre AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-2.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)Le Havre AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.