CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Phantom (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9f4fa84a2984eca09bf6a00521f8fe06ecbe74409c64ce9f11857e111495ff7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Phantom | 24c | 1,126$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.14 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed GamerLegion | 60c | 1,069$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.7 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 40c | 942.28$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.51 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Phantom | 27c | 667.14$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.21 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed GamerLegion | 76c | 629.54$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.09 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed GamerLegion | 76c | 306.21$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed GamerLegion | 75c | 210$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed GamerLegion | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed GamerLegion | 73c | 149$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Phantom | 27c | 146.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed GamerLegion | 73c | 143.84$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf77c…61cabacked GamerLegion | 73c | 143$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe52b…3837backed GamerLegion | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Phantom | 25c | 134.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom | 18c | 122.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked GamerLegion | 73c | 102$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82c…0f6fbacked GamerLegion | 73c | 101.21$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked GamerLegion | 71c | 99.2$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Phantom | 40c | 88.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Phantom | 23c | 74.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Phantom | 28c | 66.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed GamerLegion | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Phantom | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…24d2backed Phantom | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked GamerLegion | 74c | 35.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked GamerLegion | 72c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked GamerLegion | 72c | 30.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed GamerLegion | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed GamerLegion | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed GamerLegion | 71c | 22.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e7…174fbacked GamerLegion | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…8544backed GamerLegion | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.