Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2026-02-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeae441b9bd2c2e0c555e12af6f4f5c74a438410b3d4930ba3877929d3808f105
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 2,198$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.66 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 34c | 1,828$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.21 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 1,560$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.54 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed No | 69c | 1,020$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.2 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 927.92$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.7 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Yes | 22c | 897.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 38c | 702.06$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 436.29$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.94 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 65c | 364.04$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.87 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed Yes | 7c | 345$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 34c | 293.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 32c | 249$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 34c | 229.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Yes | 33c | 200.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…a156backed Yes | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 32c | 179.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 45c | 148.13$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.89 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda3f…3706backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…8a1bbacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 63.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 62.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 45c | 60.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Yes | 32c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 22c | 54.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2a…72f1backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4723…5687backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 34c | 48.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 34c | 46.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde1…925dbacked Yes | 32c | 43.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 49c | 33.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7af4…043abacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 31.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab5b…cfdbbacked No | 75c | 30.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…aea9backed No | 67c | 29.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed No | 67c | 27.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked No | 67c | 26.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…656dbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 65c | 20.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 67c | 16.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2026-02-19?this page
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc vs. FC Lausanne-Sport end in a draw?Yes won
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-02-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.