Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will SK Sigma Olomouc vs. FC Lausanne-Sport end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff0285d466abefac40919505e24f759d7fec41b68003a7299762b51c380fa423
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 63c | 3,848$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.72 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 71c | 3,001$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.31 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 42c | 2,750$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.68 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 39c | 1,853$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.8 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 20c | 1,460$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.62 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 25c | 1,393$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.25 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 20c | 1,021$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.65 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 966.09$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.07 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 60c | 929.84$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.27 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 30c | 603.29$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.3 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 21c | 520.72$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 14c | 449.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 428.92$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.11 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 69c | 355.07$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 30c | 334.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.24 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.34 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 12c | 99.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked No | 21c | 85.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…cdfcbacked No | 51c | 78.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 57c | 77.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 51c | 70.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 29c | 67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 64.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 28c | 54.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 50.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…de71backed Yes | 29c | 50.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 56c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked Yes | 60c | 34.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 38c | 33.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 61c | 31.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 72c | 29.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0aa…6818backed No | 73c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 70c | 15.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc vs. FC Lausanne-Sport end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Lausanne-Sport win on 2026-02-19?No won
- Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-02-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.