CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Omega vs m1x (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaeccd23b1709d12429f22a98163f3e592ac8b998f876ae17b34429c9c1b8393
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- m1xof Omega, m1x
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Omega | 59c | 772.46$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.42 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked m1x | 62c | 515.46$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.8 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Omega | 30c | 489.71$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Omega | 33c | 262.84$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed m1x | 48c | 231.11$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.18 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Omega | 18c | 215.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Omega | 42c | 125.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked m1x | 74c | 124.23$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed m1x | 54c | 122.58$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed m1x | 79c | 111.7$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed m1x | 62c | 103.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Omega | 33c | 95.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Omega | 36c | 74.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed m1x | 48c | 71.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Omega | 29c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked m1x | 38c | 64.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed m1x | 68c | 57.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed m1x | 58c | 56.65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef6…3e9bbacked m1x | 80c | 49.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Omega | 45c | 49.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked m1x | 67c | 44.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…7f9bbacked m1x | 54c | 27.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed m1x | 43c | 26.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…1d32backed Omega | 63c | 23.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Omega | 62c | 22.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed m1x | 74c | 15.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.