Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sapporo: Ying Zhang vs Ayumi Miyamoto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaffe1fe5ff3a1d9cf89604f5d9e61c55b83629f838a9531f34698b979b47ae4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ayumi Miyamotoof Ying Zhang, Ayumi Miyamoto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ayumi Miyamoto | 77c | 1,968$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.58 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ying Zhang | 19c | 1,949$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.05 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Ayumi Miyamoto | 75c | 1,745$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.58 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ying Zhang | 30c | 717.12$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.47 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ying Zhang | 25c | 418.02$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.96 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd898…a47dbacked Ying Zhang | 45c | 366.18$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.78 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ying Zhang | 30c | 335.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Ayumi Miyamoto | 63c | 317.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.42 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ying Zhang | 21c | 215.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Ying Zhang | 22c | 181$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Ying Zhang | 29c | 129.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ayumi Miyamoto | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Ying Zhang | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ayumi Miyamoto | 66c | 69.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Ayumi Miyamoto | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Ying Zhang | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -40.4wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Ayumi Miyamoto | 66c | 30.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Ayumi Miyamoto | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Ayumi Miyamoto | 64c | 27.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Ying Zhang | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Ayumi Miyamoto | 68c | 26.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Ayumi Miyamoto | 73c | 25.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Ayumi Miyamoto | 68c | 15.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.