CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs HAVU (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb1438dc846f1d97acb45bc0207be3cc0b1bf70d99678a4f9d9a8b683f1d2644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,475
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,475 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1a…3407backed fnatic | 68c | 10,696$7,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,447.7 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked HAVU | 33c | 3,537$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.71 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed HAVU | 30c | 1,631$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.99 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked HAVU | 31c | 1,220$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked HAVU | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked HAVU | 32c | 1,112$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.63 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed fnatic | 68c | 800$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.65 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HAVU | 33c | 700$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed HAVU | 32c | 619.31$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.11 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed HAVU | 31c | 548.02$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.89 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…31e3backed HAVU | 32c | 488$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.16 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked HAVU | 32c | 481.81$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.18 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa03c…f557backed fnatic | 66c | 455$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.7 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed HAVU | 35c | 135$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed HAVU | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked HAVU | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97f…b5e5backed HAVU | 32c | 40.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs HAVU (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs HAVU - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs HAVU - Map 2 Winnerfnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.