CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcae91d4e65e8f398d7320834f5fb0c672ceebd81b16bbdf563ad7197e0a187de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked fnatic | 75c | 1,366$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.59 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb533…629fbacked HAVU | 6c | 1,037$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked fnatic | 74c | 692.35$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.26 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked HAVU | 24c | 600$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.34 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed HAVU | 21c | 594.55$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.86 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked HAVU | 23c | 522.63$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.55 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked fnatic | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked fnatic | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed HAVU | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed fnatic | 79c | 498.82$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.75 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed HAVU | 12c | 494.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed HAVU | 7c | 407.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked HAVU | 25c | 339.41$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed HAVU | 26c | 286.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed HAVU | 24c | 281.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked fnatic | 78c | 280.01$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed HAVU | 21c | 265.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed fnatic | 76c | 261.72$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9630…4005backed HAVU | 14c | 249.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…8408backed fnatic | 74c | 217.4$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed HAVU | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed HAVU | 9c | 147.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…19a4backed HAVU | 17c | 143.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…c199backed HAVU | 28c | 142.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed HAVU | 17c | 128.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked HAVU | 22c | 112.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked HAVU | 25c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked HAVU | 27c | 106.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed HAVU | 16c | 96.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked HAVU | 17c | 68.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed fnatic | 75c | 65.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed fnatic | 78c | 51.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked fnatic | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked HAVU | 21c | 49.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed HAVU | 21c | 49.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed fnatic | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed HAVU | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked HAVU | 25c | 44.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked fnatic | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 288 | 56.6%163 W · 125 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked HAVU | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked fnatic | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked fnatic | 73c | 15.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs HAVU - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs HAVU - Map 2 Winnerfnatic won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs HAVU (+1.5)fnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.