CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs HAVU - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0e20c82155edb575f42ff5b4e6a27a4342691a287e6cc286a60fa48a111c74c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof fnatic, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x824f…69bdbacked HAVU | 49c | 950$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.5 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HAVU | 12c | 727$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked fnatic | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.08 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked fnatic | 51c | 490.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.39 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed HAVU | 29c | 345.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd1…252dbacked fnatic | 78c | 276.93$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed fnatic | 75c | 236.54$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed HAVU | 16c | 195$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked fnatic | 66c | 182.34$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked fnatic | 60c | 173.93$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked HAVU | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked HAVU | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed HAVU | 29c | 100.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed fnatic | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 392 | 58.2%228 W · 164 L | +18.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed HAVU | 37c | 94.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked HAVU | 23c | 91.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed HAVU | 22c | 64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HAVU | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked fnatic | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked HAVU | 25c | 49.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked HAVU | 25c | 49.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked HAVU | 25c | 49.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked HAVU | 59c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed fnatic | 74c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed fnatic | 58c | 32.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…c4c5backed fnatic | 66c | 20.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked fnatic | 77c | 19.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed fnatic | 71c | 19.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked fnatic | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs HAVU - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffsfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs HAVU - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs HAVU (+1.5)fnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.