Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Duje Markovina vs Jake Delaney
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb4b86198fcf4d36c098b663243465a99fe4ceade885bfc1108b5b7204bd8ae5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jake Delaneyof Duje Markovina, Jake Delaney
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Duje Markovina | 18c | 4,049$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.47 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Duje Markovina | 22c | 778.59$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.29 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Duje Markovina | 27c | 599.97$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.84 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Jake Delaney | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Duje Markovina | 19c | 385.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Duje Markovina | 17c | 329.89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Jake Delaney | 75c | 300.62$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Jake Delaney | 73c | 268.89$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Duje Markovina | 25c | 260.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Duje Markovina | 25c | 241.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jake Delaney | 78c | 205$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Duje Markovina | 19c | 194$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Jake Delaney | 79c | 173$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jake Delaney | 77c | 161.95$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jake Delaney | 78c | 152.28$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Jake Delaney | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 164 | 67.7%111 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Duje Markovina | 19c | 125.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Duje Markovina | 18c | 120.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Jake Delaney | 75c | 119.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Duje Markovina | 23c | 102.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Duje Markovina | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Jake Delaney | 79c | 97.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Jake Delaney | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Duje Markovina | 24c | 66.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Duje Markovina | 19c | 60.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Jake Delaney | 78c | 54.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jake Delaney | 79c | 39.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Jake Delaney | 78c | 30.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Jake Delaney | 77c | 23.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Jake Delaney | 74c | 20.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Jake Delaney | 72c | 16.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.