Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb56c725265b7e4592e99a76bca4b012caf09461eeff267d1a0bf8024a350f75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof G2 Esports, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed G2 Esports | 40c | 9,791$3,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,955.27 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e3…c540backed Karmine Corp | 60c | 4,155$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.63 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Karmine Corp | 61c | 2,928$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.74 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 2,450$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.66 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked G2 Esports | 39c | 1,672$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.33 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed G2 Esports | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 298 | 46.6%139 W · 159 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 1,039$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.05 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Karmine Corp | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed G2 Esports | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Karmine Corp | 65c | 500$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked G2 Esports | 22c | 436.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Karmine Corp | 58c | 430$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.6 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked G2 Esports | 26c | 405.77$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Karmine Corp | 60c | 368.33$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.33 | 390 | 55.4%216 W · 174 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…52ddbacked G2 Esports | 24c | 357.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 420 | 49.3%207 W · 213 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Karmine Corp | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 321.82$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 311.22$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.69 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Karmine Corp | 69c | 309$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.79 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 107.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 389 | 45.2%176 W · 213 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed G2 Esports | 31c | 92.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…d09cbacked Karmine Corp | 78c | 82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Karmine Corp | 60c | 76.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 74.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Karmine Corp | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Karmine Corp | 62c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed G2 Esports | 26c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 458 | 41.5%190 W · 268 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…3239backed Karmine Corp | 80c | 31.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)this page
- Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 3 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 4 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.