Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2cc139c5939a4343c4630330ed63d2289b8192f607d876ce91759a79eff9a71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 29c | 609.97$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.89 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 12c | 493.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Under | 30c | 399.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 71c | 379.43$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.03 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 9c | 376.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 75 | 12%9 W · 66 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…ef0cbacked Over | 70c | 373.92$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…52ddbacked Under | 18c | 245.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 424 | 48.8%207 W · 217 L | +16.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 32c | 176.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Over | 79c | 162.16$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Under | 43c | 153.74$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 238 | 48.7%116 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 57c | 153.74$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…adbcbacked Over | 68c | 151.57$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 71c | 140.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…086abacked Over | 72c | 139.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 73c | 135.44$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 27c | 128.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 28c | 114.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…e272backed Over | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 70c | 80.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 13c | 79.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 36c | 76.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 71c | 69.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 665 | 58.8%391 W · 274 L | -37.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Over | 70c | 66.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed Under | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f77…39f8backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…cbdcbacked Over | 62c | 22.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…3239backed Over | 73c | 20.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game 4: Any Player Quadra Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsG2 Esports won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 3 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 4 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.