Tennis · resolved market
Antalya 3: Elina Avanesyan vs Sarah Rakotomanga
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb621bf97152371efa55e8514b0ef51aa0c8d2fa35658470834aa5363051ad2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elina Avanesyanof Elina Avanesyan, Sarah Rakotomanga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,350 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 10c | 1,842$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.04 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 33c | 1,500$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.9 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 32c | 1,300$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.18 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Elina Avanesyan | 67c | 1,291$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.98 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 7c | 1,103$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Elina Avanesyan | 68c | 1,074$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.81 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 30c | 800$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…d322backed Elina Avanesyan | 71c | 566.29$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.74 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Elina Avanesyan | 62c | 502.13$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.94 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 32c | 470.66$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 42c | 420.24$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.55 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Elina Avanesyan | 70c | 378$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Elina Avanesyan | 61c | 284.71$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.27 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 31c | 273$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Elina Avanesyan | 75c | 271.55$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.27 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Elina Avanesyan | 70c | 258$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Elina Avanesyan | 70c | 215$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Elina Avanesyan | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 30c | 137.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Elina Avanesyan | 68c | 130.13$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 32c | 126.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 19c | 113.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Elina Avanesyan | 60c | 113.53$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Elina Avanesyan | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Elina Avanesyan | 70c | 90.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Elina Avanesyan | 76c | 81.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x514c…0c04backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 30c | 81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…8a9bbacked Elina Avanesyan | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Elina Avanesyan | 68c | 68.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…e61ebacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 30c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 28c | 65.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cf…a03abacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 30c | 59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b30abacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 30c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Elina Avanesyan | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Elina Avanesyan | 69c | 50.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Elina Avanesyan | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +200.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef5…83cbbacked Elina Avanesyan | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb118…e999backed Elina Avanesyan | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Elina Avanesyan | 75c | 42.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…8cd5backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 30c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Elina Avanesyan | 69c | 40.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Elina Avanesyan | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…19ffbacked Sarah Rakotomanga | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sarah Rakotomanga | 37c | 37.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4549…7cefbacked Elina Avanesyan | 70c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa874…3affbacked Elina Avanesyan | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d2…2e42backed Elina Avanesyan | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…04bebacked Elina Avanesyan | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Elina Avanesyan | 69c | 28.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc87e…7170backed Elina Avanesyan | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0b…c8acbacked Elina Avanesyan | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7985…982fbacked Elina Avanesyan | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed18…315cbacked Elina Avanesyan | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…f3efbacked Elina Avanesyan | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Elina Avanesyan | 66c | 23.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Elina Avanesyan | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Elina Avanesyan | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 222 | 58.1%129 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.