Other European Leagues · resolved market
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb7d08040aa8ac6182a29a53f1263f67dbfab62cebde0612548f249631aa96ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 48c | 4,320$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.14 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 2,222$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.87 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Over | 75c | 1,914$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 1,398$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.32 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53f…570cbacked Over | 50c | 1,147$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.65 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 42cpaid | +136.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 38c | 804.42$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.64 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Over | 63c | 799.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 20c | 537.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 80c | 524.09$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2080…6d80backed Over | 72c | 277.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 25c | 210.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 25c | 210.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 25c | 210.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 25c | 210.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 14c | 179.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 60c | 169.48$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 16c | 107.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Over | 80c | 87.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 20c | 82.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…04cfbacked Over | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…a6d2backed Under | 30c | 60.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 54c | 54.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 19c | 52.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 30c | 44.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 50c | 33.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa443…aaf3backed Over | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Gaziantep FK (-1.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
- Spread: Gaziantep FK (-2.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
- Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-1.5)Gaziantep FK won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Gaziantep FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.