Asian League · resolved market
Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-05-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec2ae20eebbe826893b59ed7ab01e478dd36e3a5d0053abc3ca71ec174c3efb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfaee…c167backed Yes | 21c | 8,621$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.32 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 7,183$5,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.87 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 80c | 3,644$2,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.81 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 2,661$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.83 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 1,795$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.73 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 79c | 1,100$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 79c | 378.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 20c | 375$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 20c | 355.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 352.4$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfc…b095backed Yes | 24c | 302.58$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 22c | 226.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 33c | 208.7$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 20c | 184.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 32c | 165.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…6253backed Yes | 8c | 125.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 22c | 113.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 11c | 96.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 20c | 92.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 74c | 89.13$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 64c | 77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…7dedbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 42.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada6…9447backed No | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 80c | 38.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Yes | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 80c | 31.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 56c | 27.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed No | 79c | 25.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…4ca0backed No | 79c | 24.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed No | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…804abacked No | 80c | 20.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 19.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed No | 80c | 16.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed No | 80c | 14.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.89 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Avispa Fukuoka win on 2026-05-23?this page
- Will Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw?No won
- Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.