CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Acend - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec454301a93a83849cf114775379631bd6af008fc792ac06c6157ec2c50507f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acendof Sashi Esport, Acend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Acend | 76c | 7,608$5,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.81 | 634 | 57.1%362 W · 272 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Sashi Esport | 28c | 6,023$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.77 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Acend | 67c | 1,100$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.22 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Sashi Esport | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 378 | 45.5%172 W · 206 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Acend | 78c | 613.18$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.37 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Acend | 48c | 510$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Sashi Esport | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sashi Esport | 14c | 326.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Acend | 65c | 308.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.31 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sashi Esport | 18c | 292.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Sashi Esport | 29c | 280.42$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.49 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Sashi Esport | 33c | 266.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Acend | 80c | 248.65$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed Sashi Esport | 20c | 239.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…3024backed Sashi Esport | 53c | 209.9$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Sashi Esport | 41c | 143$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Sashi Esport | 32c | 117.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Acend | 79c | 109.51$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…e910backed Acend | 62c | 105.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Acend | 54c | 102.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Sashi Esport | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 419 | 50.1%210 W · 209 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sashi Esport | 14c | 94.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Acend | 65c | 90.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed Acend | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 271 | 56.1%152 W · 119 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Sashi Esport | 22c | 85.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Acend | 79c | 85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Acend | 67c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…433cbacked Sashi Esport | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Sashi Esport | 32c | 73.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Sashi Esport | 23c | 67.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22bc…b0b2backed Acend | 70c | 64.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Acend | 51c | 62.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Sashi Esport | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…e6a6backed Sashi Esport | 44c | 56.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…4942backed Sashi Esport | 39c | 51.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Acend | 47c | 40.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…7f31backed Sashi Esport | 35c | 34.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Acend | 64c | 31.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Acend | 74c | 30.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Acend | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Acend | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 334 | 62.9%210 W · 124 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Acend | 78c | 28.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…2918backed Acend | 68c | 23.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked Acend | 66c | 22.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 186 | 80.6%150 W · 36 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Acend | 73c | 22.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Acend | 62c | 17.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 423 | 71.9%304 W · 119 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Acend - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Acend (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group AAcend won
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Acend - Map 2 WinnerAcend won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.