CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec95f141c0fba6ef724abe873f7211366759d52da7bd5048bbf61ae263cc95d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BC.Game Esportsof MIBR, BC.Game Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed MIBR | 71c | 2,674$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.47 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed BC.Game Esports | 29c | 2,649$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.7 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed BC.Game Esports | 43c | 589.59$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.58 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BC.Game Esports | 58c | 321.53$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.6 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…615bbacked MIBR | 49c | 290.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed MIBR | 50c | 116.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed MIBR | 47c | 86.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed MIBR | 67c | 63.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked BC.Game Esports | 68c | 62.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…43abbacked MIBR | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 184 | 51.1%94 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed BC.Game Esports | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed MIBR | 33c | 43.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked BC.Game Esports | 54c | 35.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde15…beb3backed BC.Game Esports | 71c | 27.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed BC.Game Esports | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed BC.Game Esports | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked BC.Game Esports | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed BC.Game Esports | 54c | 21.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…5572backed BC.Game Esports | 77c | 20.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…bfebbacked BC.Game Esports | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerBC.Game Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.