Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecbce36be841dcf0c32848b61d9a0733c94f672708473bc7d5de0d6dbc4ec1c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 1,441$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.48 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 1,116$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.59 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 7c | 845.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca73…b02ebacked Yes | 3c | 689.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 15c | 447.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed Yes | 18c | 397.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 14c | 393$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 14c | 314.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 15c | 289.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6875…a145backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 149.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 74c | 144.22$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 15c | 143.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 30c | 122.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be4…0156backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 16c | 87.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 26c | 82.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…2151backed Yes | 22c | 81.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Yes | 22c | 71.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 79c | 30.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-01-24?No won
- Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.