Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bistrita: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Stefan Horia Haita
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xece5e64cc2a7f82e5b71d1c40c5f46d2369322e4336a3743b625bffca9656c0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Radu Mihai Papoeof Radu Mihai Papoe, Stefan Horia Haita
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Radu Mihai Papoe | 77c | 4,900$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127 | 167 | 69.5%116 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Stefan Horia Haita | 23c | 4,900$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Stefan Horia Haita | 26c | 856.19$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Radu Mihai Papoe | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Stefan Horia Haita | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Stefan Horia Haita | 10c | 250.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Stefan Horia Haita | 17c | 249.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Radu Mihai Papoe | 74c | 180$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…6455backed Stefan Horia Haita | 9c | 177.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 121 | 7.4%9 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Stefan Horia Haita | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stefan Horia Haita | 18c | 173.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Stefan Horia Haita | 22c | 166.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Radu Mihai Papoe | 73c | 145$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Stefan Horia Haita | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Stefan Horia Haita | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…fe9ebacked Radu Mihai Papoe | 78c | 105.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Stefan Horia Haita | 10c | 102.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Stefan Horia Haita | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Radu Mihai Papoe | 78c | 34.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Radu Mihai Papoe | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Radu Mihai Papoe | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…dfcfbacked Radu Mihai Papoe | 76c | 16.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 258 | 58.1%150 W · 108 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.