Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Pigeons vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed0a6bfe4c3cd5fbddf36ce2572760bfe0cd42c095c6744e00983519c7062ac9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of Pigeons, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed M80 | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.99 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pigeons | 42c | 1,260$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.09 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa340…409bbacked Pigeons | 42c | 446.6$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.01 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Pigeons | 27c | 149.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed M80 | 73c | 137.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9677…116fbacked Pigeons | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pigeons | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked M80 | 72c | 53.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed Pigeons | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…0194backed Pigeons | 70c | 36.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…1be3backed M80 | 74c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6908…752abacked Pigeons | 59c | 33.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked M80 | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…f487backed M80 | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…6c89backed M80 | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7b…47e0backed M80 | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…104bbacked M80 | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…82a2backed M80 | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa63…0454backed M80 | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked M80 | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf22…531bbacked M80 | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.