NHL · resolved market
DEL: Eisbaeren Berlin vs. Bremerhaven
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed0bf61997f34cee3c028ca3f4f65007b9436b377ebc02b8ce84f7aaedb94f92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bremerhavenof Eisbaeren Berlin, Bremerhaven
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Bremerhaven | 39c | 2,945$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.33 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 61c | 1,626$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.98 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 62c | 895$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.7 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Bremerhaven | 40c | 765.29$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.82 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 61c | 412.79$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.8 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Bremerhaven | 44c | 227.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.82 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Bremerhaven | 64c | 156.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 59c | 100.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 58c | 85.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bremerhaven | 39c | 83.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 37c | 82.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 61c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…553dbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 61c | 49.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 55c | 44.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Bremerhaven | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…ff7cbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Eisbaeren Berlin | 61c | 31.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Eisbaeren Berlin | 33c | 31.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.