Asian League · resolved market
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed15b0b984d20fac4a67864afb4ca62302ab510fb63697163fd5d3f4da21b972
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 62c | 615.38$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.82 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 34c | 604.21$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.68 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 534.2$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.79 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 517.08$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.7 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 71c | 423.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.85 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 65c | 244.62$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 37c | 232.38$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.98 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 34c | 226.28$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 53c | 182.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 37c | 136.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Over | 64c | 126$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Over | 66c | 111$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Over | 65c | 95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 64c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 66c | 81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 65c | 68.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 33c | 53.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…a102backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Under | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fa…b505backed Under | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 68c | 35.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 32c | 34.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 59c | 33.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Under | 36c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 67c | 29.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4742…4af2backed Under | 38c | 27.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.