CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed5f84cdd1af120a6986f7eb4ac2fe17b1c925f8a1a8f314648ef77d32831cd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 47c | 1,450$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.12 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 47c | 924.22$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.38 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Under | 53c | 919.32$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.08 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Over | 54c | 896$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.28 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 55c | 890.2$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.01 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 53c | 467.39$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.39 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 52c | 376.69$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.52 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 368.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.27 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 19c | 155$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 63c | 143.04$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 46c | 113.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…8afbbacked Over | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 66c | 88.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 32c | 86.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked Under | 46c | 71.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Over | 50c | 67.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…0137backed Over | 53c | 54.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 53.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 35c | 43.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Over | 48c | 33.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked Under | 51c | 24.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03e…1091backed Over | 76c | 15.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe - Map 1 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe - Map 2 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
- Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)Inner Circle Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.