CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs MAGICOS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeddc84548f909ee41f0d6e7a24fb34bcf5e6e72078f63c933fe9dc9fe37b6b19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MAGICOSof paiN Academy, MAGICOS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,279 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MAGICOS | 72c | 2,689$1,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.58 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked paiN Academy | 38c | 1,349$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.96 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked paiN Academy | 25c | 1,147$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.73 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed paiN Academy | 32c | 917.64$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.19 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed paiN Academy | 28c | 826.51$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.79 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked MAGICOS | 52c | 625.83$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.4 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed MAGICOS | 60c | 555.36$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.75 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed MAGICOS | 76c | 468.9$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.68 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN Academy | 37c | 423.87$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.41 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN Academy | 28c | 284.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked paiN Academy | 57c | 278$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.46 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed paiN Academy | 53c | 246.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.42 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked MAGICOS | 47c | 228.06$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed paiN Academy | 33c | 210$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed MAGICOS | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed MAGICOS | 52c | 190.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked paiN Academy | 29c | 170.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…44a3backed MAGICOS | 64c | 158.56$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…ce94backed MAGICOS | 52c | 125.16$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed paiN Academy | 22c | 112.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed paiN Academy | 31c | 105.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked paiN Academy | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed paiN Academy | 23c | 93.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed paiN Academy | 24c | 87.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked MAGICOS | 61c | 81.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked paiN Academy | 44c | 81.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…5af6backed MAGICOS | 47c | 79.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…088dbacked paiN Academy | 15c | 68.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked paiN Academy | 48c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…1c5dbacked MAGICOS | 74c | 40.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed MAGICOS | 64c | 40.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed paiN Academy | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed paiN Academy | 38c | 38.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…2e0dbacked MAGICOS | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked paiN Academy | 29c | 36.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…e86bbacked MAGICOS | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked paiN Academy | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…6123backed MAGICOS | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked MAGICOS | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed MAGICOS | 52c | 20.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed MAGICOS | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs MAGICOS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group StageMAGICOS won
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs MAGICOS - Map 1 WinnerMAGICOS won
- Map Handicap: paiN.A (-1.5) vs MAGICOS (+1.5)MAGICOS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.