CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Lavked - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee050e2b6a73a065c8fc56cb9ca3859bf916ecb1e66ef6659f158290b4437be4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sashi Esportof Sashi Esport, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Sashi Esport | 45c | 3,261$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.98 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Lavked | 32c | 2,037$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.04 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lavked | 55c | 1,176$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.73 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Lavked | 33c | 917.86$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.2 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Lavked | 58c | 885.71$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.73 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Sashi Esport | 50c | 809.95$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.12 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Sashi Esport | 32c | 651$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.68 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sashi Esport | 59c | 634.9$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.31 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Lavked | 19c | 593.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.01 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Lavked | 60c | 408.97$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.13 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Lavked | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Sashi Esport | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.73 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Sashi Esport | 65c | 321.84$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.37 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sashi Esport | 56c | 321.74$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.86 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Lavked | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Lavked | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sashi Esport | 66c | 234.73$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.79 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Sashi Esport | 48c | 218.64$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 414 | 39.1%162 W · 252 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Lavked | 60c | 209.65$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…102abacked Sashi Esport | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.1 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Sashi Esport | 60c | 194.28$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…be6fbacked Sashi Esport | 51c | 186.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Lavked | 11c | 176.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Sashi Esport | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2,603 | 52.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked | 58c | 98.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Lavked | 55c | 91.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Lavked | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lavked | 43c | 84.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…eb73backed Lavked | 42c | 83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Sashi Esport | 55c | 69.48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 1,484 | 58%861 W · 623 L | +66.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Lavked | 58c | 48.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Sashi Esport | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286b…c15fbacked Sashi Esport | 44c | 34.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Lavked | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…51a0backed Sashi Esport | 31c | 32.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked Lavked | 46c | 30.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Lavked | 58c | 28.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Lavked | 66c | 27.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Lavked | 52c | 21.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lavked | 57c | 17.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Lavked - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageSashi Esport won
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerSashi Esport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.