Premier League · resolved market
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-03-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee108e7a399abd2d36ef2eeeae875e60fc4c9d01ffe2c643fb75e65c5e978f92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,793 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x211e…14efbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 3,978$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.67 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 58c | 3,805$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.55 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 17c | 1,622$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.95 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 42c | 1,328$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.82 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 15c | 1,238$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.94 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 14c | 1,198$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 42c | 1,069$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.18 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 79c | 815.71$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.71 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 59c | 660.5$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.2 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked No | 41c | 609.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 57c | 484.72$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.39 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 376.92$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.02 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 57c | 364$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 56c | 355.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.85 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b5…c308backed No | 22c | 183.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 58c | 179$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.18 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 79c | 170$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes | 76c | 157.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked No | 19c | 123.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 22c | 122$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 11c | 114.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked No | 42c | 83.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c95…9078backed No | 42c | 79.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 43c | 63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked No | 17c | 61.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…0e9ebacked No | 21c | 49.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 42c | 47.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 44c | 41.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 42c | 39.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 42c | 36.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 42c | 36.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Yes | 59c | 33.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 42c | 25.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 56c | 23.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Yes | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-03-11?this page
- Will Birmingham City FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-03-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.