Lol · resolved market
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs FALKE Esports (BO1) - LES Kick-off Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee46a3237d552b2529c50cfff4143b8e98de3e97867542b76ae0f1178480998e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Movistar KOI Fénixof Movistar KOI Fénix, FALKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed FALKE Esports | 8c | 28,910$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.79 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed FALKE Esports | 8c | 7,676$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.3 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked FALKE Esports | 12c | 5,749$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.05 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FALKE Esports | 1c | 4,727$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…2c8abacked FALKE Esports | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed FALKE Esports | 9c | 1,351$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 160 | 34.4%55 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked FALKE Esports | 8c | 1,022$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…1361backed FALKE Esports | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked FALKE Esports | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed FALKE Esports | 7c | 811.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc3…d183backed FALKE Esports | 9c | 559.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed FALKE Esports | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked FALKE Esports | 11c | 544.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f4…b017backed FALKE Esports | 7c | 418$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FALKE Esports | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…972ebacked FALKE Esports | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed FALKE Esports | 12c | 355$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed FALKE Esports | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…dcc5backed FALKE Esports | 9c | 315.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…db63backed FALKE Esports | 5c | 299.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed FALKE Esports | 13c | 139.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe46…0f4ebacked FALKE Esports | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked FALKE Esports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.