Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: WEC C vs REJECT (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee4d5108076e6b12672787c9ca4948a38d572fd15224ffb352177555032aa4a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REJECTof WEC C, REJECT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,700 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed WEC C | 0c | 7,448$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed WEC C | 13c | 6,820$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.6 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed WEC C | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked WEC C | 14c | 3,231$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.35 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed WEC C | 15c | 1,200$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.76 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d72…a35bbacked WEC C | 14c | 1,120$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed WEC C | 14c | 720.39$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…f955backed WEC C | 14c | 531$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235d…4be3backed WEC C | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…c1babacked WEC C | 14c | 492$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588e…3b83backed WEC C | 14c | 490$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab2…c358backed WEC C | 14c | 481$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d11…200fbacked WEC C | 14c | 478$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…d11ebacked WEC C | 14c | 475$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d5…103fbacked WEC C | 14c | 453$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d8…b5fcbacked WEC C | 14c | 399$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed WEC C | 14c | 384.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed WEC C | 15c | 263.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked WEC C | 13c | 249$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked WEC C | 15c | 237.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed WEC C | 13c | 230.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed WEC C | 15c | 226.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REJECT | 54c | 221.58$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.96 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…c4c2backed WEC C | 11c | 199.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b06…1b99backed WEC C | 14c | 172.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed WEC C | 13c | 139.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked WEC C | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…9192backed WEC C | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked REJECT | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.